Latest updated blog – Rain chances stick around for a while – Nick

Latest updated blog – Rain chances stick around for a while – Nick

Good Monday evening, everyone. For anyone (probably most of you) pleading for a break from the typical summer heat and humidity along with rain, Mother Nature heard our plea and delivered for us today. With our front set up across the area, that kept mostly cloudy skies and areas of scattered rain and t-storms in play to kick off the new work week. It certainly had an impact on temperatures. Instead of highs back in the middle 90s like we saw on Sunday and much of this past weekend, we saw highs at Joplin Regional only warm into the middle 80s.

Rain is something that we DEFINITELY have been asking for over the past several weeks. With our moderate drought still in play across much of the area, the wider scattering of rain and t-storms was a welcome sight to have return to the region. While there are some spots that didn’t see rain today, others picked up on some moderate to heavy pockets of rain. 0.4″ may be the areawide average from the rain and t-storms from this morning and into the evening. However, the heavier pockets left some areas with 1 to almost 3 inches today.


If you’re in one of the spots that didn’t see any rain today, don’t fret. We’ll hold on to the rain chances for your Tuesday. Along with mostly cloudy skies sticking with us, we’ll go from another mild start Tuesday morning to highs back in the middle 80s for the afternoon.


This welcome change in our weather setup is due to our cold front that started working in today. As we wrapped up the weekend, we had the front draped across the Upper Midwest and back into northern, central and western Kansas. Now, the system is on top of us while it stretches from the Desert Southwest and up through the Great Lakes.


Another big factor in our break from the heat today is the change in our jet stream setup. The upper ridge that kept us under the typical summer heat and humidity has shifted back into the Desert Southwest. With the jet right on top of us in a northwest flow, we’ll still have disturbances riding along the jet and to our northeast. This setup, along with the front staying on top of us over the next few days, will keep the rain chances around.


That setup does include tonight and heading into Tuesday. The scattered rain and t-storms to start this evening out will die down just a bit as we work into the morning ahead of us. Still, we’ll encourage everyone to have the rain gear handy as we start mild with temperatures in the lower 70s under mostly cloudy skies.


As we warm temperatures up through the morning and into the afternoon, we’ll see the scattered rain and t-storms chances pick back up across numerous parts of the area. Even with rain chances wanting to pick back up through our Tuesday, we’ll still be able to warm up. After we start the afternoon with temperatures near 80 by lunchtime, most spots should be back into the middle 80s for the afternoon.


Wednesday will be the same story for yet another day. We’ll have some scattered rain and t-storms in the morning under mostly cloudy skies with lows back in the lower 70s.


With the returning warmth and humidity working together with our stalled out front and the northwest flow of the jet stream, we’ll have a good chance for more widespread rain and t-storms for Wednesday afternoon. Any dry time we get during the day will allow temperatures to eventually warm into the middle 80s across much of the area.


For Thursday, our stalled-out front will wash out on top of us. However, another front will take its place as it moves in from the north. That will keep chances for rain and t-storms around for Thursday as highs try to push into the middle to upper 80s. Looking at rain chances over the next 3 days alone, some areas could easily see rain amounts push between 1 and 3 inches by Thursday afternoon. This is rain that we need and that we’ll DEFINITELY take.


As we get the weekend started, the front and rain chances will keep highs in the lower 80s for Friday afternoon. That sounds really good for our final Friday of the month of July. For Saturday, the front starts to depart to our southeast. While it stay may keep some scattered t-storms around, partly sunny skies and a northerly breeze will feel nice as highs will only climb up to 80. We’ll head into the first full week of August with partly sunny skies and temperatures staying nice with highs in the middle 80s. For a look at how the month of August is shaping up, Doug has you covered with his long range forecast down below.

Have a good night and a great Tuesday!


Long range forecast through August:

Next Tuesday-Saturday:  With another front working in on Tuesday, that will keep us warm with some t-storm chances back in the forecast.  Back to the heat for Wednesday and Thursday with another front trying to get in by Friday with thunderstorm chances.

August 9th-15th:  Most of the week on the hot side with pop up storms from Tuesday through Friday.  Temperatures back off just a bit for the weekend.

August 16th-22nd:  A hot start, but most of the week warm with hot temperatures returning late in the week.  Chances for scattered storms on Sunday, Monday, Tuesday and Saturday.

August 23rd-29th:  A warm start to the week but most of the week on the hot side.  Isolated storms on Sunday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday.

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